Ben Bernanke, right, the Fed chairman, with I.B.M.'s chief executive, Samuel Palmisano, in Ohio.
COLUMBUS, Ohio — The Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, found some respite on Tuesday from the second-guessing the central bank has faced since it announced a $600 billion effort to stimulate the slow recovery.
During a 75-minute discussion here with five business leaders, including the chief executives of I.B.M. and Ford Motor as well as the founder of a local chain of ice cream stores, inflation and monetary policy were not even mentioned, much less debated.
Mr. Bernanke did, however, emphasize the toll high unemployment was taking on families and on the share of the unemployed — more than 40 percent — who have been jobless for at least six months.
“At the pace of growth that we’re seeing now, we’re not growing fast enough to materially reduce the unemployment rate,” he said. The economy needs to grow at an annualized rate of 2 to 2.5 percent just to accommodate new workers coming into the labor force, he said. Mr. Bernanke has made this point repeatedly this year.
At 9.6 percent, the unemployment rate is about where it was when the recession officially ended in June 2009, Mr. Bernanke said, and only about a million of the 8.5 million jobs lost since the peak of the last economic expansion have been restored.
“Part of the barrier to faster growth and recovery is confidence in households that they will be financially secure and that they can make purchases and take chances in changing careers and changing locations,” Mr. Bernanke said. “With unemployment so high, that confidence is hard to come by.”
The discussion, organized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and held at the Fisher College of Business at Ohio State University, was part of an effort by Mr. Bernanke to reach out more.
“We spend a lot of time, of course, looking at data, sitting in Washington, looking at the screen, but there’s only so much you can learn from that,” he said.
Sandra Pianalto, the president of the Cleveland Fed, who moderated the discussion, referred obliquely to the firestorm the Fed has faced in recent weeks. “Through my interactions with Ben, I’ve learned that extreme circumstances often require very creative and aggressive policy responses, and that the right decisions sometimes aren’t the most popular decisions,” she said.
While none of the executives criticized the Fed, Samuel J. Palmisano, the chief executive of I.B.M., said that uncertainty, particularly over regulations, was holding back businesses, not financial constraints.
“Clearly, there’s tons of liquidity, as you know,” he told Mr. Bernanke, who was seated to his left. “There’s probably more than we could consume. It’s not a credit issue. It’s not the financial system or a banking issue. I think at the end of the day it’s clarity.”
But two of the three local business owners on the panel said financial conditions were still tight. “Credit is much more tight today than it was in past years,” said Dwight E. Smith, founder of Sophisticated Systems, a provider of information technology services.
Curtis J. Moody, co-founder of Moody Nolan Architects, said, “The lines of credits are more difficult to get, and they’re lower.”
The business leaders agreed that the partisan climate in Washington was not helping matters. “Exports aren’t partisan, competitive tax policies aren’t partisan,” Mr. Palmisano said. “Economic expansion, job creation, isn’t political at the end of the day.”
Alan R. Mulally, the chief executive of Ford, said the government needed “a laser focus on creating an environment where businesses can grow.” He said that “currencies need to be set by the market” and “not manipulated,” and added, “We need to have trade agreements that actually allow us to export.”
That appeared to be a reference to a free trade agreement with South Korea that was negotiated by the Bush administration and is opposed by Ford. The Obama administration wants to complete the deal and submit it to Congress, but negotiations with South Korea have become stuck over restrictions on American auto and beef exports.
Mr. Bernanke said he took away from the discussion the need for clarity on regulatory, trade and fiscal matters. He also emphasized the importance of government support for technological innovation and the need to improve public education, community colleges and work force training.
Several M.B.A. students in the audience said that they had hoped Mr. Bernanke would discuss the Fed’s decision to buy bonds to reduce long-term interest rates, a topic they had debated in class. The students were generally skeptical about the strategy’s effectiveness.
“If you inflate the economy without doing anything about growth, you’re just printing money,” said one of the students, Jyotisko Sinha, 27.
Read More
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/01/business/economy/01fed.html?partner=rss&emc=rss
During a 75-minute discussion here with five business leaders, including the chief executives of I.B.M. and Ford Motor as well as the founder of a local chain of ice cream stores, inflation and monetary policy were not even mentioned, much less debated.
Mr. Bernanke did, however, emphasize the toll high unemployment was taking on families and on the share of the unemployed — more than 40 percent — who have been jobless for at least six months.
“At the pace of growth that we’re seeing now, we’re not growing fast enough to materially reduce the unemployment rate,” he said. The economy needs to grow at an annualized rate of 2 to 2.5 percent just to accommodate new workers coming into the labor force, he said. Mr. Bernanke has made this point repeatedly this year.
At 9.6 percent, the unemployment rate is about where it was when the recession officially ended in June 2009, Mr. Bernanke said, and only about a million of the 8.5 million jobs lost since the peak of the last economic expansion have been restored.
“Part of the barrier to faster growth and recovery is confidence in households that they will be financially secure and that they can make purchases and take chances in changing careers and changing locations,” Mr. Bernanke said. “With unemployment so high, that confidence is hard to come by.”
The discussion, organized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and held at the Fisher College of Business at Ohio State University, was part of an effort by Mr. Bernanke to reach out more.
“We spend a lot of time, of course, looking at data, sitting in Washington, looking at the screen, but there’s only so much you can learn from that,” he said.
Sandra Pianalto, the president of the Cleveland Fed, who moderated the discussion, referred obliquely to the firestorm the Fed has faced in recent weeks. “Through my interactions with Ben, I’ve learned that extreme circumstances often require very creative and aggressive policy responses, and that the right decisions sometimes aren’t the most popular decisions,” she said.
While none of the executives criticized the Fed, Samuel J. Palmisano, the chief executive of I.B.M., said that uncertainty, particularly over regulations, was holding back businesses, not financial constraints.
“Clearly, there’s tons of liquidity, as you know,” he told Mr. Bernanke, who was seated to his left. “There’s probably more than we could consume. It’s not a credit issue. It’s not the financial system or a banking issue. I think at the end of the day it’s clarity.”
But two of the three local business owners on the panel said financial conditions were still tight. “Credit is much more tight today than it was in past years,” said Dwight E. Smith, founder of Sophisticated Systems, a provider of information technology services.
Curtis J. Moody, co-founder of Moody Nolan Architects, said, “The lines of credits are more difficult to get, and they’re lower.”
The business leaders agreed that the partisan climate in Washington was not helping matters. “Exports aren’t partisan, competitive tax policies aren’t partisan,” Mr. Palmisano said. “Economic expansion, job creation, isn’t political at the end of the day.”
Alan R. Mulally, the chief executive of Ford, said the government needed “a laser focus on creating an environment where businesses can grow.” He said that “currencies need to be set by the market” and “not manipulated,” and added, “We need to have trade agreements that actually allow us to export.”
That appeared to be a reference to a free trade agreement with South Korea that was negotiated by the Bush administration and is opposed by Ford. The Obama administration wants to complete the deal and submit it to Congress, but negotiations with South Korea have become stuck over restrictions on American auto and beef exports.
Mr. Bernanke said he took away from the discussion the need for clarity on regulatory, trade and fiscal matters. He also emphasized the importance of government support for technological innovation and the need to improve public education, community colleges and work force training.
Several M.B.A. students in the audience said that they had hoped Mr. Bernanke would discuss the Fed’s decision to buy bonds to reduce long-term interest rates, a topic they had debated in class. The students were generally skeptical about the strategy’s effectiveness.
“If you inflate the economy without doing anything about growth, you’re just printing money,” said one of the students, Jyotisko Sinha, 27.
Read More
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/01/business/economy/01fed.html?partner=rss&emc=rss
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